All Pairs

Pair Signal Bias Confluence Primary
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SELL bearish Confidence: 58%
bb squeezechoppynear resistancemarket alignedbayesian calibrated EMA20 ABOVE EMA50PRICE ABOVE EMA200MACD BEARISHSUPERTREND BULLISHABOVE VALUE AREA
Entry 72,907.04
Stop Loss 72,612.16
Take Profit 73,465.1992
1m
5m
15m
1h
4h
1d
(19% aligned)

BTC/USDT 1h: SELL (bearish). Price is above both EMAs with RSI at 56.3. MACD histogram is negative. SuperTrend is bullish. Volatility is compressing. Price is near resistance. Key factors: EMA20_ABOVE_EMA50, PRICE_ABOVE_EMA200, MACD_BEARISH, SUPERTREND_BULLISH.

📉 Bearish PRIMARY
58%
Trigger 72,612
Stop Loss 72,907 +0.41%
TP1 72,333 -0.38%
TP2 72,054 -0.77%
TP3 71,775 -1.15%
ALTERNATE SCENARIO:
📈 Bullish ALTERNATE
42%
Trigger 72,907
Stop Loss 72,612 -0.40%
TP1 73,186 +0.38%
TP2 73,465 +0.77%
TP3 73,744 +1.15%

Bullish pressure if resistance breaks

Track Record 753 scenarios resolved
TP1
67.2%
TP2
44.8%
TP3
27.3%
SL
30.1%

Signal is not financial advice. Use at your own risk.

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How to Read the Signals Lab

Signal Action — BUY, SELL, HOLD, NEUTRAL

The bold action label at the top of each signal card tells you the engine's directional verdict for this pair and timeframe. BUY means the technical analysis patterns favour upside; SELL means they favour downside. HOLD appears when confidence is too low to take a directional stance (below 25%). NEUTRAL means the market looks choppy with no clear edge.

Bias & Confidence

Next to the action you'll see a bias badge (Bullish or Bearish) showing the underlying directional lean, and a confidence percentage. Confidence reflects how many of the 17 scored technical patterns agree — the higher the number, the stronger the consensus. It is capped at 90% because no signal is ever certain.

Condition & Reason Code Pills

The coloured pills summarise the key factors driving the signal. Condition pills (e.g. "near resistance", "bb squeeze", "volume spike") describe the current market structure. Reason code pills (e.g. "ema20 above ema50", "macd bullish") list the specific technical patterns that fired. Click more… to expand the full list, less… to collapse.

Key Levels — Entry, Stop Loss, Take Profit

When the signal is actionable (BUY or SELL), three price levels are shown. Entry is the suggested entry price (current close). Stop Loss is derived from the nearest swing high or low — the level where the thesis breaks. Take Profit is 1× ATR in the signal direction. These levels are starting points — adjust them to your own risk tolerance.

Confluence Dots

The row of coloured dots represents timeframe alignment. Each dot covers one of the six timeframes (1m, 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, 1d). A green dot means that timeframe agrees with your selected signal's direction, red means it disagrees, and grey means neutral/no data. The percentage shows overall alignment — higher values mean more timeframes agree, which generally improves signal reliability.

Narrative & AI Commentary

The narrative paragraph is a plain-language summary of the signal generated from the technical analysis data — it tells you what the engine sees. Below it you may see AI commentary, a short opinion from an AI language model. The commentary is cosmetic context only and does not influence the signal, probabilities, or scenarios in any way.

Primary & Alternate Scenarios

Every signal produces two scenarios. The Primary scenario is the higher-probability direction with its own trigger price, stop loss, and three take-profit targets (TP1, TP2, TP3) spaced at 1×, 2×, and 3× ATR. The Alternate scenario is the opposite direction — it fires if the primary thesis fails. Both show a probability bar indicating the engine's estimated likelihood. The percentages always add to 100%.

Distance percentages next to each level show how far that price is from the trigger, helping you gauge risk-to-reward at a glance.

Probability Bars — What They Mean

The coloured bar under each scenario label shows the estimated probability of that scenario playing out. This is not a guarantee — it combines the raw technical analysis confidence with a Bayesian prior drawn from historical outcomes for this pair and timeframe. A signal marked "bayesian calibrated" in its pills has enough historical data (10+ resolved outcomes) to blend past performance into the estimate.

Track Record

When at least 30 scenarios have been resolved, a Track Record section appears showing historical hit rates. TP1 shows how often the first take profit was reached. TP2 and TP3 show the same for the second and third targets. SL shows how often the stop loss was hit instead. These are rolling statistics — older outcomes carry less weight than recent ones.

How do the signals learn and improve?

The engine tracks every scenario it generates. When a candle closes beyond a target or stop loss, the outcome is recorded. Three feedback loops run continuously:

  • Bayesian calibration — blends the historical TP1 hit rate into new probability estimates so they drift toward reality over time.
  • Adaptive weight tuning — every 24 hours, each of the 17 scored patterns has its weight adjusted based on its recent win rate. Patterns that predict well gain influence; patterns that don't are dampened.
  • Cross-pair correlation — when correlated pairs disagree (e.g. BTC bearish but ETH bullish), the engine dampens confidence to reflect the uncertainty.
All Pairs Dashboard

The table at the top left shows 1-hour signals for every supported pair. Each row displays the signal action, bias, confluence score, and primary scenario direction. Clicking a row selects that pair — the chart, signal card, and exchange panel update automatically.

Timeframe Selection

Use the pair and timeframe selector above the chart to switch between the six available timeframes: 1m, 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, 1d. Shorter timeframes carry more noise and are flagged with a "High-frequency — higher noise" warning. Longer timeframes generally produce more reliable signals but update less frequently.

Using the Exchange — Overview

The exchange panel on the right side of the page lets you swap one cryptocurrency for another directly — no account required. It is powered by a non-custodial aggregator that finds the best available rate across multiple exchanges. The swap form pre-selects the signal's base currency so you can act on a signal quickly.

"You Send" — Selecting & Entering an Amount

Click the currency button next to You Send to open a searchable currency picker. Type a ticker (e.g. "BTC"), name, or network to filter the list. Select the asset you want to spend, then type the amount in the number field. A minimum amount is displayed below the field — you cannot swap less than this. Once you enter a valid amount, an estimated quote is fetched automatically.

"You Get" — Estimated Receive Amount

The You Get field shows the estimated amount of the destination currency you will receive. This is a live quote that updates when you change the amount or currencies. The value is read-only — it is calculated from the current market rate. Click the currency button to choose a different destination asset. All fees are included in the quoted rate; there are no hidden charges.

Direction Flip Button (↑↓)

The circular arrow button between You Send and You Get swaps the two currencies instantly. If you were sending BTC to receive ETH, clicking it switches to sending ETH to receive BTC. The quote refreshes automatically.

Destination Address

Enter the wallet address where you want to receive the swapped funds. This must be a valid address on the correct network for the "You Get" currency. For example, if you are receiving BTC, enter a Bitcoin address; if receiving USDT on Tron, enter a TRC-20 address. Double-check this — funds sent to a wrong address cannot be recovered.

Memo / Extra ID

Some currencies (notably XRP, XLM, and certain exchange wallets) require a memo or extra ID in addition to the address. If the destination currency requires one, an additional field appears automatically. You must fill it in — omitting the memo can result in lost funds.

Swap Button & Confirmation

Once all fields are filled, click Swap. The button shows "Creating…" while the swap is being set up. When complete, the form transitions to the Ready to Swap status page — this means the swap has been created and is waiting for your deposit.

Ready to Swap — Deposit Address

After the swap is created, you'll see a summary of what you're sending and receiving, along with a deposit address. Send the exact amount shown to this address on the correct network. Use the Copy button to avoid mistakes. If the destination currency required a memo, a separate memo field is shown below the deposit address — include it in your transaction.

Transaction ID

A unique Transaction ID is generated for every swap. Copy and save it — you will need this ID if you ever need to contact support about the swap.

Progress Tracking

A five-step progress bar tracks your swap in real time, updating every 10 seconds:

  1. Awaiting — waiting for your deposit to arrive
  2. Confirming — deposit detected, confirming on-chain
  3. Exchanging — funds are being exchanged at the quoted rate
  4. Sending — swapped funds are being sent to your wallet
  5. Complete — done! Check your destination wallet

If something goes wrong, the status shows Failed or Refunded with an explanation. Use your Transaction ID to follow up.

Starting a New Swap

After a swap finishes (or if you want to start over), click ← New Swap to return to the blank form. Your previous swap data is cleared.

AI Signals — Not Financial Advice

The signals, scenarios, and probability estimates displayed on this page are generated automatically using technical analysis rules and AI language models applied to publicly available market data. They are provided for informational and educational purposes only.

These signals do not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. You should not treat any of this content as such. Probability estimates are based on historical pattern performance and may not reflect future outcomes. PLOOP does not recommend that any asset be bought, sold, or held by you.

Trading and investing in cryptocurrency involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every person. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should make your own independent assessment and seek professional advice before making any trading decisions.

Use these signals entirely at your own risk.